Today: Another cloudy day after mist and fog clear through the morning in the south. Cloud lifting in places with some bright or sunny spells developing. Breezier in the north with a few light showers, but remaining mild throughout. Tonight:
The White House takes pointers form NYPD blue with a Good cop, bad cop routine, Starmer in a power play on the world stage, Orban stands up to Brussels and more medics killed in Lebanon and more civilians butchered in Gaza by israel.
US President Joe Biden has authorised Ukraine to launch limited strikes into Russia using US-made long-range missiles, in a big policy shift before the end of his White House term in January, two people familiar with the decision said.
This is a common approach by the US administration, using a ‘good cop, bad cop routine’ which is designed to allow ‘the next’ to negotiate an opportunity to bring an end to the war. Allowing Ukraine one last attempt to dent to the Russian onslaught may also prove to give the Ukrainians a better opportunity at seeking a favourable deal, as Putin will have to recognise that if he doesn’t agree to a deal the US and its allies could be prepared to offer Ukraine further support and enhanced equipment.
The key point to consider here is that although Biden has allowed Ukraine to use the longer range missiles and to attack inside the Russian border, it does not mean Ukraine can. It has a short and limited supply of these missiles and they will not be replenished before Trump takes over.
It does seem now, Zelensky has realised there is no more money, and perhaps he will now be more agreeable to finding a truce.
Sir Keir Starmer in a power play at the G20. Staying with the Ukraine war the British prime minister, will urge G20 leaders to “double down” on their support for Ukraine, as he seeks to rally support for Kyiv ahead of Donald Trump’s inauguration as US president in January.
Starmer will use his G20 summit to be more assertive and dominant on a global stage. He needs to generate some power and the ability to convince and lead the Europeans, mainly so that he does not dwindle into obscurity with the in coming president-elect Trump. If he can establish himself as force on the global stage Trump will take him seriously.
Viktor Orbán has turned Hungary into the main home for Chinese capital in Europe, capturing more than a quarter of all Chinese investment coming into the continent over the past two years. He is one of the few politicians who is putting his country first and determined to stand up the EU and using the opportunity to leverage more favourable business inot Hungary.
Even against the backdrop of his rule of law dispute with Brussels, Orbán has exacerbated tensions with other EU capitals by maintaining strong diplomatic ties with both Beijing and Moscow.
Domestically, he is calling on rallying his Hungarians with talks about Hungary’s rich powerful history and reiterated how things could have been different if it wasn’t for the 1st world war.
So far he has attracted China’s investments into the motor industry including a wave of investment into EV factories, has been a stimulus to an otherwise struggling Hungarian economy hit by the EU withholding about €20bn of funding over rule of law concerns.
Many other European nations are watching how this turns out, with nationalist pretenders to the thrones, drawing up battle plans to take on Brussels.
Israel continues to pound Lebanon, killing eight more paramedics, after assassinating Hezbollah’s top media relations officer, Mohammad Afif, in an air raid on central Beirut.
Lebanese officials were studying on Friday a US truce proposal for the Israel-Hezbollah war.
On the day the US envoy Amos Hochstein will travel to the Lebanese capital Beirut on Tuesday for talks on a ceasefire between Hezbollah and Israel
Israel has committed war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza, including pursuing a deliberate policy of forcibly displacing people and denying them the right to return home, according to a Human Rights Watch report released Thursday.
The report also labelled the likely permanent dispossession of Gazans in areas cleared by Israel to serve as buffer zones and security corridors as “ethnic cleansing”.
Meanwhile Hamas said it was ready for a ceasefire in Gaza. But Israel is continuing to target Refugee camps and hospitals in Gaza. International Committee of the Red Cross has began evacuating patients for fear that Israel will launch an assault on one of the last few functioning hospitals left in Gaza.
Israel has a very specific goal in Gaza, if t can get rid of 50% of the population it will be able to take 50% more land. It is cheaper to kill entire families than have to deal with surviving members fight in the courts. It is also flattening the old roads and landmarks to ensure that all the old records of streets and house numbers are completely destroyed, renaming the streets in the process.
Netanyahu chooses die hard supporter of illegal Israeli settlements as new US ambassador amid Trump return
Yechiel Leiter, a staunch defender of illegal Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank and vocal advocate for the war in Gaza, is set to become Israel’s new ambassador to the US. His appointment by Netanyahu comes just days after Trump’s re-election – signalling a policy shift aligned with renewed debates over annexation.
He has lived in America and has 8 children, five of whom are potential war criminals, serving in the Israeli Defense Forces (IDF), his eldest son was killed during the invasion of northern Gaza last November.
Editorial 30.10.24
Wednesday’s newspaper front pages are heavily dominated by the news that the teenager accused of murdering the three young girls in Southport in July has had more charges brought against him.
The news has somewhat distracted the front pages from the release of the budget – expected today between 12.30 and 1 pm.
But a handful of newspapers do lead on the budget – with more speculation ahead of the release.
There’s coverage of the Conservative leadership race as well as a dash of international politics – namely the upcoming US election and the ongoing crisis in the Middle East.
The Guardian says Axel Rudakubana, 18, has been charged with possessing a study of an al-Qaeda training manual – an offence under anti-terror laws – and producing the toxic poison ricin.
The Daily Mirror says the cops found al-Qaeda study and ricin during the search of Rudakubana’s home. He is due to appear in court on Wednesday.
The Daily Telegraph reports the al-Qaeda study was stored as a PDF and included translations of “advice on urban warfare and terrorism, along with instructions to operatives on how to establish cells and what to say if they are arrested”.
The Metro’s front page notes he made racin and recalls how the attack in Southport took place at a Taylor Swift-themed dance class over the summer – and how the murder of the three little girls sparked race riots across the country.
The Mail reports that Rudakubana was charged on Tuesday and questions “why the information [about the items found at his home] was withheld for so long”.
The Times reports both Robert Jenrick and Kemi Badenoch – the last two in the race for Tory leadership – have also questioned the timing of the announcements.
The paper quotes Jenrick asking “facts may have been withheld from the public” and Kemi Badenoch saying it was “quite clear that there are serious questions to be asked” of the police, the Crown Prosecution Service, and Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer.
But Whitehall has hit back with a source telling the paper that a “party which used to stand for law and order… is headed for a future built on conspiracy theories and the undermining of public faith in our institutions”
The Telegraph says Downing Street has denied any “cover-up”.
The Guardian highlights a plea made by Merseyside Police for people not to speculate about the alleged offences.
The i leads on the release of the October Budget – due late this morning. The paper says the chancellor will use the budget to raise the minimum wage from April next year, but notes that many people are also expected to face “painful” tax increases.
The chancellor will “reject austerity” and set a new financial course for the country by funding investment in hospitals, homes and schools.
The FT also leads on the budget saying the cost of the government’s long-term borrowing hit its highest level since the election. The paper says investors have “braced themselves” because Reeves plans to fund much of the new investment by relaxing the government’s fiscal rules and increasing borrowing by more than £20bn a year.
The Telegraph says the armed forces will get a funding boost of nearly £3bn in the budget. The paper says the money will fund a backdated pay rise of 6% for personnel as well as the replenishment of weapons. It means that the country’s defence spending as a proportion of GDP will remain at around 2.3% the paper adds.
The Daily Mirror praises plans to increase the minimum wage by 6.7%. The paper says the move will create a genuine living wage and make work pay.
The Times has a more negative view, reporting the Institute of Directors has issued a warning that change – along with the expected rise in employers’ National Insurance and workers’ rights legislation – will create a “perfect storm” for firms.
The Mail’s editorial condemns the budget saying it’s nakedly destructive and ideological. The paper says the chancellor is hobbling business at every turn and should focus instead on trimming the public sector and getting more people into work.
Australian police recover 40,000 stolen Bluey coins Australian police have recovered over 40,000 limited-edition Bluey coins, stolen months before their release. In July, 63,000 coins were reported missing from a
Paul Pelosi attacker sentenced to life without parole David DePape, who assaulted Paul Pelosi in his San Francisco home in 2022, has been sentenced to life without parole on state
Former Trump aide Steve Bannon released from prison after four months Steve Bannon, a former advisor to Donald Trump, has been released after serving four months in a Connecticut prison
US condemns Israeli airstrikes on Gaza as ‘horrifying’ At least 93 people are dead or missing after an Israeli air strike on Beit Lahia in northern Gaza, according to Gaza’s
Rescuers search for survivors after hotel collapse in Argentina Rescue teams in Villa Gesell, Argentina, are urgently working to find survivors after the 10-story Dubrovnik hotel collapsed, leaving one confirmed
Rescue efforts continue after deadly flash floods in Spain Flash floods from intense rain have caused devastation in southeastern Spain, especially in the Valencia region. Several bodies have been found,
Saudi Arabia’s wealth fund to cut international investment target
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BP Earnings Beat Views Despite Weak Oil Price, Refining Margins
WSJ Business Tweet
HSBC has unveiled its latest multibillion-pound share buyback after beating profit estimates in the third quarter as the Asia-focused bank gears up for a major restructuring.
The announcement drove HSBC’s share price 4.7 per cent higher in London and up 3.7 per cent in Hong Kong during earlier trading – with both at their highest level in around six years.
The London-based lender reported a pretax profit of $8.5bn (£6.6bn) between July and September, up from $7.7bn (£5.9bn) a year earlier. Analysts had expected a profit of $7.6bn (£5.9bn).
HSBC announced a $3bn (£2.3bn) share buyback and dividend of 10 cents (7.7p) per share to reward investors, bringing its total shareholder distributions to $18.4bn (£14.2bn) this year alone.
FTSE 100 oil giant BP has reported strong-than-expected earnings for the third quarter.
On Tuesday, it posted an underlying replacement cost profit, used as a proxy for net profit, of $2.3bn (£1.8bn) for the three months to 30 September.
The figure beat analyst expectations of $2.1bn (£1.6bn), according to an LSEG-compiled consensus.
However, the figure was worse than the $2.8bn (£2.2bn) profit reported for the second quarter of 2024 and far below the $3.3bn (£2.5bn) reported for the third quarter of 2023.
Yougov shares jumped 13 per cent on Tuesday as the data firm reported revenue and operating profit narrowly ahead of full-year expectations.
In unaudited results for the year to 31 July, 2024, Yougov posted a three per cent organic revenue increase, with reported revenue up 30 per cent to £258.3m, driven by its recent CPS acquisition.
This outpaced guidance offered in August, owing to higher-than-expected research activity in July.
Adjusted operating profit inched up from £49.1m in 2023 to £49.6m, with trading this year tracking last year’s levels and reflecting slower sales bookings in the second half.
There has been fevered speculation about changes to pension savers’ tax allowances and other perks ahead of today’s Budget statement.
Reports that pensioners could have tax breaks cut or axed led to savers withdrawing chunks of their retirement pots ahead of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s big announcement.
Other speculation focused on tax breaks for workers planning to retire, spurring them to do the opposite, and pack more cash into their pensions in case their own tax incentives are slashed.
You may have missed the fact your bank has cut your savings rate. We are seeing things cut across the board – keep an eye on that
Sarah Coles, head of personal finance at stockbroker Hargreaves Lansdown
Reeves has tasked herself with fixing a gap in the nation’s finances of £22bn. She has also pledged to bring the country’s debts to heel and to avoid raising income tax rates, one of the easiest and least popular ways to bring in money.
Instead, she is reportedly considering other revenue-raising means, such as cutting perks or taxing things like gains in the value of assets like company shares or second homes.
For at least a couple of previous Budgets, there has been speculation that the generous tax breaks pensioners and pension savers get could be cut. This speculation has intensified.
As things stand, a retiree with a private pension pot of up to just over £1m can withdraw a quarter of that money and pay no tax, meaning a withdrawal of up to £268,275. Reeves could cut or end that allowance, since it benefits the well-off the most.
Workers saving for their pension can do so before income tax is paid. For higher earners – taxpayers paying 40 per cent income tax on their earnings – this is a very generous break. It means £100 paid into their pension pot costs them just £60 in taxed income.
But again, it benefits the best off the most, with earners on £50,271 and above getting the 40 per cent relief and lower earners getting only 20 per cent.
Some campaigners advocate for a flat rate of tax relief of 30 per cent, which would benefit everyone.
“The main thing is not to be rushed into action by speculation ahead of the actual announcement,” advises Sarah Coles, head of personal finance at stockbroker Hargreaves Lansdown.
“Don’t do anything rash,” she says. “It’s really important people don’t rip out tax-free cash without having a plan for it.”
Pensions can be accessed from age 55 for some people, and it’s important not to drastically shrink your savings if they must last you another 30 or even 40 years. Taking the money out can tempt you into spending it.
“If you do want to withdraw some pension cash, put it into an ISA, which protects interest payments and other gains from tax, just like a pension does,” Coles says.
“Outside pensions, it is worth watching out for and making use of other allowances,” says Coles. “Now that interest rates are higher, it is worth being aware that £1,000 of interest can be received tax-free for lower-rate taxpayers, but only £500 for higher-rate payers.”
There is also speculation Reeves may increase capital gains tax or cut allowances, although she is likely to leave the tax on second homes alone.
“If you own shares outside a pension or ISA, you can book £3,000 of gains a year tax-free. It might be worth doing that before the Budget,” says Coles.
She adds: “It’s worth thinking about planning as a couple. The £20,000 ISA allowance is the same per person. This means if your ISA is full, you could use your spouse’s.”
“The Budget has the effect of drowning out all other personal finance news,” says Coles. “The other thing to bear in mind is savings rates dropping. You may have missed the fact your bank has cut your savings rate. We are seeing things cut across the board – keep an eye on that.”
While rates are higher than their pre-Covid historic lows, they are ebbing downwards, so looking at what your savings accounts are offering is worthwhile.
Similarly, mortgage rates have drifted downwards, and those on high variable rates might consider securing a fixed rate.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/budget-2024-today-savings-advice-b2637957.html
Former sports minister Tracey Crouch says the incoming football regulator should be run by someone with a background in the City.
Crouch has done more than anyone to give rise to the regulator by making it a key recommendation in her fan-led review of football governance.
A revised bill laying out the watchdog’s proposed powers was published last week and former Conservative MP Crouch believes it should be helmed by someone whose expertise lies primarily in finance, not football.
“Personally, I would love someone with a financial background with an interest and understanding in football as opposed to someone who has a football background with an interest in finance,” Crouch told the Not Just Football podcast sponsored by Sky Bet.
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