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What are England's chances of Winning the World cup?
Facts
According to Opta:
According to Opta statistics, who have the win predictions for all the teams, Brazil are favourites.
- Brazil are favourites to win; Argentina runners-up
- England are in fifth – with a 9% chance of winning WC
Chances for teams in Group B

Analysis
What are England’s chances of winning the World Cup?
Opta, a British sports analytics company, has predicted Brazil will win the World Cup 2022.
The prediction model estimates the probability of each match outcome – win, draw or loss – by using betting market offs and Stats Perform’s team rankings.
What are the odds and rankings are based on?
The odds and rankings are based on historical and recent team performances. The model is able to consider the opponent’s strengths and the difficulty of their path to the final by using match outcome probabilities, taking into account the composition of the groups and seedings into the knockout stages.
So what are England and Wales’s chances at winning the World Cup?
Brazil the favourites
South America’s Brazil have emerged as the favourites – with a 16% chance of lifting the cup, according to the model. They are also the team with the highest probability of reaching the final with 25%.
In second place is Messi’s Argentina, who have a 13% chance of winning the Qatar world cup 2022.
Rounding out the top five contenders at the 2022 World Cup are France (12%), Spain (9%) and England (9%).
France, in third place to win the tournament, have the highest probability of qualifying for the knockout stages (91%).

England and Wales’s odds
The UK will be represented by two teams for the first time since the 1998 World Cup. England and Wales are both in Group B.
The data says England has a 60% chance of topping the group, and are the fifth-best chance of winning the tournament (9%). They are likely to make it to at least the quarter-finals, according to the model, and their probability of reaching the last eight is 56% – the thor highest percentage chance of any country at the World Cup.
Wales may make it out of the group stages, as their match against the USA is their best route. They have a 41% chance of progressing to the last 16, with the USA slightly higher at 45%.
Where is the FIFA World Cup 2022 schedule?
Following a dazzling Final Draw for the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022™, the final tournament match schedule has been published on FIFA+.
Given the compact nature of Qatar, event organisers were able to assign, for the first time ever, group stage games to a stadium and kick-off time for each matchday after the final draw, optimising the match schedule for the benefit and comfort of spectators, teams, media and the global audience.
A total of 64 games will be played to decide the winners of the FIFA World Cup Qatar 2022™. See when and where the action will take place.
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