EU

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and European Council President António Costa signed a modernised trade deal with Mexico at an EU summit, enhancing economic ties amid rising geopolitical tensions. This agreement opens markets for key sectors, supporting the EU’s diversification strategy and reducing reliance on the US and China.

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Ireland’s Foreign Minister Helen McEntee warned that granting “associate membership” to Ukraine could hinder its EU accession momentum, risking a two-tier membership approach. This follows German Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s proposal aimed at overcoming a two-year stalemate in Ukraine’s EU bid.

The European Commission has downgraded its 2026 growth forecast for the EU economy to 1.1%, citing increased energy prices due to the Middle Eastern conflict. The eurozone outlook fell to 0.9%, reflecting risks from global energy market disruptions and escalating inflation, now expected to reach 3.1%.

A conservative win in Andalusia’s recent regional election highlights Spain’s rightward shift, as the Socialist Party loses ground. This trend underscores a growing divide between Pedro Sánchez’s progressive image abroad and his waning local support amidst increasing challenges for his administration.

The European Commission is intensifying efforts to protect EU industries amid a surge in Chinese imports, which have caused the trade deficit with China to reach €359.9 billion in 2025. Upcoming discussions on 29 May will address strategies to mitigate overreliance on Chinese production.

Hungary has signalled readiness to engage with Ukraine under new Prime Minister Péter Magyar, aiming to resolve issues concerning the Hungarian minority in Transcarpathia. Discussions may pave the way for lifting Budapest’s veto on Ukraine’s EU accession, contingent on guarantees for minority rights.

EU governments and the European Parliament will revisit the EU-US trade deal discussions, following threats of higher tariffs from Trump. The urgency intensifies as the 4 July deadline approaches, marking a critical opportunity for finalisation before potential trade disruptions.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is on a European tour, having recently met Swedish counterpart Ulf Kristersson and European Commission Chief Ursula von der Leyen in Gothenburg. Discussions included advances on the EU-India trade agreement, which aims to significantly enhance investment and economic ties between India and Europe.

Former British health secretary Wes Streeting has condemned the UK’s exit from the European Union as a “catastrophic mistake” while announcing his candidacy for Prime Minister. Speaking at the Labour Party’s Progress conference, he advocated for rejoining the EU and urged current leader Keir Starmer to resign.

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