Oil prices surged to their highest amid US-Israel strikes on Iran
What Happened?
Oil prices surged to their highest in five months, Brent crude briefly topped $81 a barrel, after the US joined Israel in striking key Iranian nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. This escalation triggered a sharp reaction in financial markets: global energy stocks rose, Asian equity indices such as Japan’s Nikkei and South Korea’s Kospi fell by around 1 per cent, and futures for the S&P 500 and Dow dropped roughly 0.4 per cent. Gulf markets, however, mostly advanced, buoyed by the spike in oil prices and investor optimism that heightened US involvement might lead to peace talks. The Strait of Hormuz loomed large, as Iran threatened to close the vital shipping route, pushing Brent to near $80 a barrel and extending a broader market pullback.
What Next?
Markets are now on high alert for Iran’s response, particularly actions that could disrupt oil shipments through Hormuz. Analysts warn that even partial disruptions could send prices above $100 or $120 per barrel, potentially stoking inflation and delaying interest-rate cuts by central banks like the Bank of England. Investors are trimming exposure to equities seen as vulnerable, with defensive sectors and oil stocks benefiting from the geopolitical uncertainty. As global leaders assess the evolving conflict and any diplomatic breakthroughs, financial markets face continued volatility and the risk of prolonged “oil shock” effects.
