Cliff Notes
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The G7 summit in Kananaskis, Canada, is primarily focused on the Israel-Iran conflict, with leaders seeking de-escalation amidst ongoing global crises.
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President Donald Trump‘s unilateral approach complicates efforts for a cohesive strategy, particularly regarding issues in the Middle East and Ukraine.
- Canadian hosts are foregoing a joint communique to minimise potential discord, reflecting the challenges of accommodating the unpredictable dynamics introduced by Trump.
G7 summit ‘all about the Donald’ as Canada tries to avoid friction in the Rockies
The fresh air of Canada’s Rocky Mountains clears the head. It’ll need to.
Here, the village of Kananaskis (population circa 130) finds itself, temporarily, the diplo-centre of the world – hosting diplomacy of the difficult kind.
If this isn’t quite a crisis meeting, it’s a meeting amidst crisis. The Israel-Iran conflict is front and centre of the G7 agenda and key players have come here talking de-escalation.
If they’re speaking with a single voice at the start, don’t hold your breath for a single strategy by the end.
The G7 starring Donald Trump is a different movie – this isn’t a gathering built necessarily on the shared understanding and common purpose that has, generally, defined the annual team meeting of the world’s leading democracies.
Here, an abrasive US president will schmooze leaders he’s screwing on trade, undermining defence priorities and, generally, putting at a distance.
Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelenskyy and South African President Cyril Ramaphosa – both veterans of the Oval Office hair dryer treatment – are the special guests filed under especially awkward.
Reaching any kind of common strategy in the Middle East will be difficult in the immediate term, as it is in the long term.
Trump is a man with a different vision for the region and, without a shared view of the destination, it’s complicated from the start. The same applies to Ukraine.
At this gathering, the dynamic will be all about the Donald. The centre of gravity will revolve around their US invitee, reflecting the wider picture of a world working out Trump and shaping its response accordingly.