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EU
The European Commission has downgraded its 2026 growth forecast for the EU economy to 1.1%, citing increased energy prices due to the Middle Eastern conflict. The eurozone outlook fell to 0.9%, reflecting risks from global energy market disruptions and escalating inflation, now expected to reach 3.1%.
EU STRATEGIES
This morning, Europe focuses on cooperation and resilience amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic challenges.
Key developments include trade negotiations and energy strategies.
Concerns about Europe’s security strategy intensify amid ongoing debates in the European Parliament over military spending. MEPs Lukas Mandl and Marc Botenga expressed starkly opposing views on investing billions in defence amidst geopolitical tensions, particularly Russia’s actions in Ukraine, highlighting Europe’s shifting military priorities.
High Representative Kaja Kallas has reiterated her rejection of direct talks between the European Union and Russia, emphasising that Moscow is preparing for a “long-term confrontation with the West.” Kallas highlighted the necessity of remaining resolute in the face of escalating military tensions.
US President Trump has intensified his criticism of German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, urging him to focus on the Russia-Ukraine conflict rather than the Iran war. Trump’s remarks follow Merz’s assertion that the US is being “humiliated” by Iran, and highlight ongoing tensions over NATO troop presence in Europe.
EU Trade Commissioner Maroš Šefčovič announced discussions with US counterparts about establishing a digital legislation forum, aiming to address concerns related to the EU’s Digital Services and Markets Acts. The US seeks to ease these regulations, linked to ongoing steel and aluminium tariff negotiations.
Belgium is negotiating with French energy group Engie to take control of its nuclear power plants, aiming to secure energy supplies. Prime Minister Bart de Wever confirmed plans to halt decommissioning operations while advocating for increased use of nuclear energy amid rising energy prices linked to global conflicts.
European defence spending surged by 14% in 2025, totalling €739 billion, with Germany becoming the largest investor after increasing its budget by 24% to €97 billion. This rise comes amid US pressure for NATO members to meet 5% GDP targets by 2035, marking the highest growth since the 1950s.
Hungarian Prime Minister-elect Péter Magyar indicated that EU funds could soon be released to Hungary following productive talks with European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen. Their discussions addressed unlocking billions in frozen funding, necessary for economic support, amid a looming August deadline.
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