EU

French far-right leader Jordan Bardella commenced a two-day visit to Poland, aiming to forge alliances with right-wing leaders ahead of France’s presidential election. In Warsaw, he met with President Karol Nawrocki, discussing security, national borders, and the role of both nations in shaping Europe’s future.

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EU leaders have reached a preliminary agreement on a €2 trillion long-term budget for 2028–2034, targeting completion by October. The bloc is navigating complex negotiations to balance funding demands from various member states, particularly concerning agriculture and defence expenditures, ahead of a new text proposal by Ireland.

A senior NATO military official confirmed that the planned withdrawal of 5,000 US troops from Germany will not affect NATO’s deterrence and defence strategies, following a dispute between President Trump and Chancellor Merz. The decision highlights ongoing tensions in transatlantic military commitments.

The European Political Community convened in Armenia last week, addressing global instability and escalating US-EU trade tensions, particularly regarding potential tariffs on European cars. Participants, including Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, discussed strengthening democracy, military cooperation, and economic ties amid shifting geopolitical landscapes.

European industries face significant challenges amid the upcoming Trump-Xi summit, with concerns that a potential US-China deal could prioritise American access to rare earths, leaving Europe vulnerable. As critical supply chains are manipulated, Brussels prepares for potential economic fallout and intensified competition with cheaper Chinese products.

The European Commission is sending a high-level delegation to Budapest next week to assess Hungary’s progress in unlocking €10 billion in EU recovery funds. Following a change in government, Budapest faces a tight deadline to meet conditions related to rule of law and anti-corruption reforms by August.

Estonian Defence Minister Hanno Pevkur emphasised the need for accountability in the EU’s €90 billion loan to Ukraine, amidst an investigation into graft allegations involving a former Zelenskyy aide. Pevkur highlighted that Ukraine must demonstrate responsible fund usage to secure ongoing support from both Ukrainians and Europeans.

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