- Electoral College Results: 6 out of 538
- State population: 3.2 million people
- 2020 winner: Joe Biden by 34,000 votes
US Election 2024: Swing state Nevada
Nevada, traditionally a Democratic stronghold in recent elections, could see a shift toward Republicans in 2024. Early polling averages from 538 once showed Donald Trump with a significant lead over Joe Biden, but that margin has tightened since Kamala Harris took the top spot on the Democratic ticket. Democrats are banking on Harris’s appeal to younger and more diverse voters to help close the gap.
What are Trump’s chances in Nevada?
Both campaigns are targeting Nevada’s sizable Latino population, which could prove decisive. Despite strong national economic growth under Biden, Nevada’s post-COVID recovery has lagged behind. The state currently has the third-highest unemployment rate in the country at 5.1%, behind only California and the District of Columbia.
If re-elected, Trump has promised to return to an agenda focused on tax cuts and deregulation, appealing to voters frustrated by Nevada’s slower recovery. It makes the state a critical battleground as both parties work to win over voters in the final stretch.
