Close Menu

Small boat crossings rise due to good weather | Paper Talk UK 

Bias Exposure

The UK front pages react to a new Home Office report that has linked the UK’s hot weather this year to a dramatic rise in the number of small boat crossings when compared to the same period last year. A record 11,074 people arrived in small boats before May this year, a rise of almost 50% compared with the same period last year.

The story leads two tabloid front pages this morning – both conservative-leaning. 

The left-leaning press takes a more neutral tone compared to the sensationalist approach from the right. 

READ: Small boat arrivals: last 7 days – GOV.UK

Good weather to blame for small boat crossing surge | The newspapers summarised

Wednesday’s UK newspaper front pages offer a variety of headlines with no one story dominating the papers. A handful touch on the migrant channel crossings, in particular Labour’s theory that crossings have risen due to the good weather. But there is little unity across the papers and instead standalone reports ranging from war and conflict to the latest showbiz news. 

The Daily Express says “now it’s good weather to blame for boat surge” as the paper mocks the Labour government’s comments. 

“Blame the weather”…it’s a classic British pastime when things go a bit skew whiff. From train delays to lacklustre retail sales, too hot, too cold, too wet, too windy – it’s always the fault of Mother Nature.

Now the government is getting in on the act, blaming weather conditions for the surge number of illegal migrants crossing the English Channel on small boats. A record 11,074 people arrived on UK shores before May this year, a rise of almost 50% compared with the same period last year.

EXPLAINER

This headline uses sarcasm (“NOW IT’S GOOD WEATHER TO BLAME”) to undermine the Home Office’s explanation, suggesting incompetence or deflection. The phrase “yet another excuse” reinforces a pattern of failure, while the figure “record 11,000” adds shock value to fuel public frustration.

NOW IT'S GOOD WEATHER TO BLAME FOR BOAT SURGE!: Yet another Home Office excuse as record 11,000 Channel migrants arrive

The Daily Mail says there is evidence that the “Rwanda plan did deter” small boat crossings following the release of a government report on the number of migrants trying to reach the UK across the English Channel. 

Labour has been ridiculed for blaming migrant crossings on the weather as it published data indicating the Rwanda asylum scheme had a clear deterrent effect on arrivals.

The Home Office published figures on the number of so-called ‘red days’ which have seen calm weather conditions in the Channel.

To a chorus of derision, it claimed good weather ‘tended to coincide with an increase in the number of overall arrivals’.

EXPLAINER

This headline uses contrast framing to discredit Labour (“tries to blame weather”) while presenting “new figures” as objective proof. The phrase “did deter small boats” supports the Rwanda plan, implying policy success. It positions Labour as misleading and the opposing stance as fact-based and effective.

THE EVIDENCE RWANDA PLAN DID DETER SMALL BOATS: As Labour tries to blame weather for surge in crossings, new figures tell another story

The Guardian reports a new law to fast-track the removal of asylum seekers who arrive from countries deemed to be safe is being drawn up by ministers, prompting concerns that thousands of claimants may not be given a fair hearing.

Yvette Cooper, the home secretary, said she would legislate to speed up the processing, appeals and deportation of people “who should not be sitting in the asylum system for a long time”.

The disclosure comes as a Home Office analysis claimed that the record numbers of people arriving in the UK via small boats could be attributed to favourable weather and greater numbers being crammed into vessels.

EXPLAINER

This headline uses bureaucratic framing (“draw up law”, “fast-track removal”) to suggest decisive government action. Referring to migrants from “‘safe’ countries” implies illegitimacy of claims, justifying tougher policies. The mention of “calm weather and fuller boats” reflects a deflection tactic, subtly shifting blame to external conditions while reinforcing a surge narrative.

Reeves in £15bn spending pledge to placate fractious Labour MPs

The Sun says greedy smuggling gangs are cramming ever more migrants into small boats — as the Government’s excuse for record arrivals was sunk. The number of dinghies carrying 80 or more people tripled in just one year.

In the 12 months to April, there were 33 compared to 11 in 2024 and just one in 2023. And there were 312 boats carrying 60 or more compared to 153 the year before.

The dangerous squeeze emerged yesterday when the Home Office published for the first time data on both the number of migrants per boat and how the weather affected the crisis. Labour has tried to blame recent sunny spells for a higher number of migrants completing Channel crossings.

EXPLAINER

This headline uses emotive language (“greedy smuggling gangs”, “cramming”) to provoke anger and portray migrants as exploited. The phrase “Labour’s excuse… is sunk” employs a pun and ridicule tactic to discredit their explanation, reinforcing a blame narrative and suggesting Labour is out of touch or evasive.

Greedy smuggling gangs cramming more migrants into small boats as Labour’s excuse for record arrivals is sunk Labour has tried to blame recent sunny spells for a higher number of migrants completing Channel crossings