Year: 2026

Iran has offered to reopen the Strait of Hormuz if the US lifts its blockade, but Washington remains focused on nuclear limits and has little appetite for a deal that separates shipping from enrichment. King Charles is in Washington to speak about renewal in the UK-US relationship, while North Korea is deepening its military bond with Russia and Mali faces a major jihadist offensive. Markets are watching oil, central banks and energy costs, while global politics continues to move through trade routes, alliances and domestic pressure points.

King Charles will address Congress today as Britain’s relationship with Washington sits under unusual strain. At home, Westminster turns back to the Mandelson affair, with Philip Barton and Morgan McSweeney facing MPs and a vote expected on whether Keir Starmer should be referred to the privileges committee. Rachel Reeves is weighing a one-year rent freeze, Robert Jenrick faces a Met investigation, and the assisted political backdrop is already sharpening before local elections. Globally, Iran’s Hormuz proposal, turmoil in Mali and North Korea’s Russia ties add a heavier edge to the week.

Ukraine is launching arms exports to global markets, as announced by President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. This initiative, aimed at countries supporting Ukraine, includes “Drone Deals” for the supply of drones, ammunition, and expertise. The effort seeks to leverage Ukraine’s surplus production capacity while ensuring domestic military needs remain a priority.

Relations between Hungary and its neighbours deteriorated ahead of the 12 April election, which saw newcomer Magyar defeat long-standing nationalist leader Viktor Orbán. This political shift marks a significant change in Hungary’s approach to regional relations and governance.

The European Commission is shifting towards a firmer stance on China, spurred by China’s threat of retaliation against the EU’s Made in Europe legislation. On 29 May, EU Commissioners will debate a new strategy amid rising pressures from industry and economic threats perceived from Beijing, signalling potential changes in trade policy.