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Immigration crackdown – Thunderstorms to hit UK – Premier League latest – Trade war pause

Monday’s headlines are leading with the prime minister’s announcement on his plans to crack down on legal migration to the UK – with measures that include banning overseas care home workers. It’s unclear how these measures won’t damage the economy further, but Starmer’s eyeing up a second term in office, and to beat Reform at the next general election (2029) he’ll need to have made massive moves on immigration (legal and illegal). Recent local elections in England saw Reform sweep traditional Labour and Tory hotspots, meaning you can expect to see both parties move closer to the right for the foreseeable future. 

Parts of the UK can expect to see thunderstorms this Monday after weeks of glorious sunshine – but the rain shouldn’t last too long, as a mini heatwave is predicted for the end of the month. 

The UK headlines of course cover the weekend’s Premier League action as Man United lost 2-0 to West Ham, struggling Manchester City eeked out a draw against relegated Southampton, Spurs lost to Palace and Arsenal came from 2-0 down to draw with league winners Liverpool. 

On the international front, the US and China have announced a 90-day slash on tariffs in a sign that the international trade war started by Donald Trump may be easing.

PM crackdown on immigration system in bid to cut numbers

PM crackdown on immigration system in bid to cut numbers

CliffNotes

  • PM crackdown on immigration system in bid to cut numbers
  • PM to announce the changes this morning
  • Changes include tightening English tests, banning overseas recruitment of care staff

What Happened 

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has promised “migration numbers will fall” when he sets out plans to reform the UK’s immigration system later this morning. 

The PM is due to give a speech where he will say every area of the system “will be tightened up so we have more control.” 

Changes will include tightening English tests and cutting the recruitment of overseas care workers – something care home bosses have already described as ‘crushing’. 

The number of people coming into the country, minus the number leaving hit 728,000 in the year to June 2024. 

Perspective 

Opposition leaders are having their say, with the shadow home secretary Chris Philip telling Radio 4’s Today programme that the government’s plans won’t go far enough and that legal migration has been way too high in recent years. 

He says the high level of low-skill migration puts too much pressure on the country and the economy. 

On the plans to end visa routes for overseas care workers, he said it only “takes a matter of a few weeks” to train people in this role and it will help get British people back into work. 

The Conservative Party says the idea that the prime minister “is tough on immigration is a joke” and promises to push Parliament to introduce a cap on migration. 

The Liberal Democrats say the immigration system is in “tatters” and that it looks forward to scrutinising the government’s plans. 

What Next

Labour is attempting to overhaul a long-term problem which is “beyond unsustainable”, one senior government figure told me.

There are of course political reasons to get the net migration numbers down and they will be hoping they have found a way to do it that helps people feel better off, rather than having a negative economic impact. 

It will see the most highly skilled and high-earning immigrants able to secure permanent residence much quicker than others.

Ministers will be hoping some of the changes will move quickly – cutting the 50,000 lower-skilled and care workers coming into the UK pretty much immediately.

Other plans are expected to be set out in an immigration bill at the next King’s Speech.

The aim is that by the time the next general election rolls around – 2029 at the latest, the prime minister can point to a trend that bucks migration trends and give him, and Labour, the credibility they need. 

Media Reactions

The Guardian says the PM is toughening rules in what it calls a “challenge to Reform” which inflicted losses on Labour during England’s local elections. The paper states that adults such as spouses, siblings, parents and grown-up children who accompany foreign workers in the UK will be expected to pass an English language test. 

The i says migrants ‘must earn their right to stay and improve their English,’ as it quotes the prime minister who says new immigrants have to earn the “privilege, not right” to settle in the UK. The paper is amongst several suggesting the government’s move is to combat Reform UK – noting Labour has taken the “narrative” from the growing right-wing party. 

The Times reports migrants needing to “earn their right to remain” with those who pay their taxes on time, work in the public sector or have high-skilled jobs, or volunteer in the community being “prioritised for residency rights.” 

The Daily Express says “migrants must wait ten years to become British” under what it calls a “crackdown” – the paper explains that automatic settlement and citizenship for anyone living in the UK for five years will also end. The paper hears from the Conservatives who accuse the government of “pretending to be tough” on the issue. 

The Daily Mail reports on the Tory response saying the party have called Labour’s plans “laughable” for not including a cap on numbers and adding that critics “immediately questioned” how success would be measured.

US and China agree temporary tariff slash

CliffNotes

  • US and China agree temporary tariff slash
  • Both will cut their tariffs by 115% for a 90-day period
  • Significant short term ease in trade tensions between the two economic powers

What Happened

The United States and China have agreed to a temporary reduction in the tariffs they impose on each other’s imports, marking a significant—if short-term—easing in trade tensions between the two economic powers.

Following trade talks held in Switzerland over the weekend, both sides confirmed they would cut their respective tariffs by 115% for a period of 90 days. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the discussions as “productive and constructive”.

This marks the first formal meeting between the two nations since US President Donald Trump imposed aggressive tariffs on Chinese goods entering the American market earlier this year. The US had raised tariffs to 145%, prompting China to retaliate with a 125% levy on selected American products.

These steep tariff hikes rattled financial markets and fuelled fears of a potential global recession.

What Next

Under the new agreement, the US will reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports to 30% for the next 90 days. In return, China will lower its tariffs on American goods to 10% over the same period.

While this is being seen as a welcome de-escalation, the tariff cuts are only temporary. It remains unclear whether further progress will be made once the 90-day period ends.

Both governments are expected to resume negotiations in the coming weeks, with the global business community watching closely for signs of a more permanent resolution.

Media Reactions

Politico reports Trump said the two biggest economies in the world have achieved a “total reset” after weeks of mounting tensions. “We want to see, for the good of both China and the U.S., an opening up of China to American business,” Trump wrote on Truth Social early Sunday. “Great progress made,” he added.

Reuters reports that European shares rose on Monday, as investors welcomed signs of progress in U.S.-China trade talks aimed at cooling a trade war between the world’s two largest economies and dispelling some of the uncertainty clouding financial markets.#

Bloomberg reports global stocks have claimed after the announcement to cut tariffs for 90 days that will see Beijing cut tariffs on US goods to 10% (from 125%) and Washington reduce duties on Chinese goods to 30% (from 145%). The announcement has sent the US dollar rally to one-month highs against the Euro and Yen.

CNN says the US and China agreed to “drastically roll back tariffs” on Monday for a 90-day period, in “a surprise breakthrough that has buoyed global markets.”

Thunderstorms set to hit after record dry spell – UK weather

CliffNotes

  • Thunderstorms set to hit after record dry spell – UK weather latest
  • Yellow weather warning has been issued for parts of England and Wales
  • Warning in place from 12:00 to 22:00 BST Monday

What Happened

A yellow weather warning has been issued for thunderstorms, with the potential to cause flooding in parts of England and Wales, according to the Met Office.

The warning, in place from 12:00 to 22:00 BST on Monday, applies to areas including Wales, the Midlands, the West of England, London, and the South East. Forecasters say as much as 50mm (1.9 inches) of rain could fall in just a few hours.

These intense downpours could lead to localised flooding, disruption to travel, and delays or cancellations to bus and train services.

This comes after what has been England’s driest start to spring in 69 years, as reported by the Environment Agency earlier this month. Several areas — including Preston in Lancashire and parts of Fife — have seen virtually no rainfall since mid-April.

What Next

Showers are expected to move in from the south during the early hours of Monday, but temperatures will remain fairly mild, generally staying in the high teens or low 20s Celsius.

The Met Office has warned of a risk of flash flooding and minor localised issues due to the sudden heavy rainfall. However, the unsettled spell is likely to be short-lived.

Sunshine and more stable conditions are forecast to return later in the week, with temperatures potentially reaching 23°C in some parts of the country.

Despite this temporary change in weather, concerns remain about the longer-term outlook. The Environment Agency recently urged water companies to do more to protect water supplies amid ongoing dry conditions. According to the UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, large parts of the country are currently classed as ‘extremely dry’ on its three-month Drought Index.

Media Reactions

BBC News says the warning covers areas including Wales, the Midlands, west of England, London and the South East from 12:00 BST to 22:00 on Monday, the Met Office said.

GB News says, just yesterday, Britons were urged to stay inside as temperatures soared across the country with England reaching highs of 25C. Thermometers reached 25C in no fewer than 10 locations in England at 3pm.

Sky News says the UK has this month seen the warmest start to May on record – but the sunshine is set to give way to showers for much of England and Wales on Monday.

Metro says the stormy weather follows heavy showers today, mainly affecting the West Country, South Wales and parts of the West Midlands.

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